Tags: ideas

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Conversation on the colour of eyes, 080714

A: My beautiful brown eyed sweetheart...
K: Nnnyyy, I want blue eyes...
A: But why, you have lovely eyes
K: But everyone pretends they are chocolate and tries to eat them
A: But if you have blue eyes, then people will pretend they are blueberries, and try to eat them too.
K: No, Madison says that blue eyes are water, and no one likes to have water that much, so I want blue eyes.

Here are those eyes, on 150210:

beedool 150210 photo IMG_7914.jpg
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The probability that I will understand....

I canNOT understand probability theories. I think that everything is just 50-50...either it will happen or occur, or it will not.

On a mailing list that I belong to, someone attempted to explain it to me (as also to children who are facing the concept for the first time). But....

I can TELL myself all this:

On Sat, Oct 27, 2012 at 2:15 PM, L H <ljrh....@gmail.com> wrote:
>>
>
> The probability that you will or will not roll a 1 is .5. The
> probability that the roll will result in a 1 is 1 in 6, given the event
> that you have rolled a six sided die. You can reduce most events to will
> or will not happen. That isn't the true representation of that scenario
> though.
>
> It can only be .5 if there are two equally probable events. How you are
> presenting them is not in terms of the probability of those outcomes,
> but in that given two discrete categories (1 or 2,3,4,5,6) the
> probability is .5 that you will land on 1.
>
> The inverse of rolling a one is important as well. The probability of
> rolling a 2 must also be .5, according to your interpretation. But since
> all possible probabilities must sum to 1, .5(6)=3 (or .5 added for each
> of the six possible events) is a contradiction, not to mention
> impossible given that probability is a continuum from 0 to 1.
>
> Given your terms:
> In terms of a lottery, there are n people who participate. My odds of
> winning must be .5, either I do win or I don't. However, what if there
> is only one person who participates in the lottery, and that person is
> me? Isn't my odds of not winning 0, since I would always win?
>
> However in a system where probability is always calculated by the
> desired events divided by the total number of possible outcomes, this
> contradiction is explained, and empirically valid with your perceived
> paradox with conventional frequency based probability. Given one desired
> outcome (rolling a 1) and two potential outcomes (rolling or not rolling
> a 1) the expression becomes 1 in 2. Charles' example though derives from
> rolling a 1 as opposed to rolling a 1,2,3,4,5,6. With the same equation
> structure of desired out of total outcomes, you get 1/6. Here is where
> your interpretation breaks down though: what is the probability of
> rolling a red? Your view would have either red, or not rolling a red,
> thus 50-50. However, you can never roll a red. So the probability is
> accurately reflected as 1/0.

But it ultimately makes as much sense to my intuition as this:



> iQIcBAEBCgAGBQJQi58mAAoJEDeph/0fVJWsN84P/0GaRnK0CH8SR7IQsWoQcsx8
> 4t9kaO59i7l/vgw9PVc4AU7Vkoixj0Q3W/jiw7IYIgejCVWdzvPWJynUhd/U+gDF
> 3nMK+iTNOOUjZjEZRv8e6Oki/io2AHfRZRjP/ugNOkOspdo+H78r1fmXOs5yXlqh
> i++NP2DAXJ3k+BTc7043PrLvdIOtlrryGNPXG4qs8tvkvtC3v/Wjqq0k0d34RE3T
> O5AnymocsoBDm9pYAOuxRveXcphMb1zA0zE3zBQmHW9JDfvNqad5o+/QbLjjpwQw
> NWjLkR7PIOA/CUv9XTyVQwLw9LjHr1m+y68ZNMdsgQR4VF1CK0F4qL7QPKLJEIJs
> 4GPGlPqg1XUK54PkQqQDSQYSj/rosQqBVUVUxlQPALxIHpfxLWqtG3T67j2Rk8Oo
> qObTNoBksJTYu81Ii1VX3Pvt4bjogZgUcH6HJBPc0aIxOnHK4LGQ6p55xuSKLMSy
> vfcf6NyGiyoQcziUHMGVdMjdKoy9PPGvRLsov3ezNxvePw/cunMwVnJacBZgf6+/
> mU9FLmTpeH18phe+QorheMwA/M9nnS13C/48fGoRFqKt19x+fVOVrtUiubgkAlS7
> sx8J9WL8FbT0D5HmrRB6DRavYxQIO4PCsGODBqag22GYBp6vR6GU8/dJe4hz95Yi
> PbIz9P4Wml4NillJLvwk
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Mylapore is great...but so are other places!

kruthi sent me this "Mylapore is wonderful" video:




I agree with the greatness of Mylapore, there are lots of things I enjoy very much there (see

my various posts about Chennai

.... but I disagree with LOTS of other things. Is the Mami's duty only to cook for her husband, who seems so incompetent in the kitchen...is that something that he cannot learn? why must he keep burning himself in the kitchen, and why is that a sympathy factor for him?

And if you take a conscious decision to help your child out with her child ....why should that be bad? Earlier, daughters would come to the mother's home for the childbirth...if today, the mother goes to the daughter's home, what's wrong with that, if it's being done voluntarily?

I disagree with the idea that helping with the grandchild is equal to being a servant...and also with the idea that the work a servant does is also somehow "inferior". I particularly DETEST this idea! WHY is housework or childcare considered so inferior by TamBrams...or, indeed, by most Indians?

Please, grandparents! There is NOTHING inferior in helping to care for grandchilden abroad, and making a few compromises for that most delightful of jobs. If you can't do it with good grace...don't do it at all!

I enjoy both my life in Bangalore, with a lot of activites. and my life in St.Louis, taking care of my grand-daughter.. They are two facets of me...and I feel in no way that I have sacrificed anything.

And we need to get rid of this idea that ONLY living in India (or in this instance, Mylapore) is good. There is a lot that one can learn from going to a new culture and a new country. Let's learn to have more open minds! One can be as spiritual in the US as in India, and I don't mean attending Sanskrit classes.

Each culture has its pluses and minuses. It's so nice to talk about the pluses of a life in Mylapore, but does anyone talk about the eve-teasing, the nasty rowdyism, the lack of good roads or good infrastructure, and all the negatives that one faces? Why only accentuate the positive of India and the negative of the US?

And the bottom line is that ultimately it is thousands of people from this same Mylapare who ARE sitting abroad. Why not analyse WHY they are going there if everything is so rosy here?

I choose to live in India for various reasons...but that doesn't mean that I can't appreciate what's good in other cultures. Why do we always have to run down others to feel good about ourselves?
wave

A word like "heard" is for the birds...

From "The Language Instinct" by Steven Pinker


Beware of heard, a dreadful word
That looks beard and sounds like bird,
And dead: it's said like bed, not bead--
For goodness' sake don't call it "deed"!
Watch out for meat and great and threat
(They rhyme with suite and straight and debt).

Thanks to anushsh for lending me this tough-to-read but interesting book!
wave

Another of my favourite TV Series...

I have watched several TV series that were seminal to me...which shaped my thinking, and expanded my mental horizons. Of late, no one seems to know much about them, but I would like to disinter, from the past (and the ever-present internet!) one of my favourite series, "The Ascent of Man".

Click here for the wiki on the series.

Here's a video of the first in the series, "Lower than the Angels".....




Be warned, it's a 52-minute clip...but unlike me, you don't have to wait for it to come on TV, you can watch at leisure.

I didn't always agree with Bronowski's words or ideas, but the series did make me think.

Do let me know how you liked this one!
wave

why on earth..how on earth....

why would some of my entries be duplicated? I can't understand..will this be duplicated? I think the first time I check after updating, it doesn't show up, so I update it again...at least this is what I think happens as normally I am very sleepy when doing LJ stuff....

R K Laxman has a great cartoon in today's Times of India, with a man saying he has got 2 people to push his car everywhere as it is cheaper than buying petrol for the car. Where does the man get his ideas, remembering that he must produce a cartoon every single day?